FIGHTING FOR A FAIR DEAL
FOR COUNCIL TENANTS One beneficial effect of the debate around council
housing stock transfer is that housing is now much higher up the political agenda. The
stepping up of activity on council estates by opponents of the scheme, has caused a
noticeable change in official Labour Party briefings to MPs. On 13 December, to coincide
with the publication of the national housing policy statement, Labour MPs received a
briefing which contained no specific section on council housing and highlighted the
promotion of diversity of ownership and private finance.
By the time of the lobby of Parliament on 24 January organised by the Defend Council
Housing campaign, the emphasis was on "significant" increased spending on
council housing and its long-term future .Stock transfer was portrayed as only one means
of improving the quality of social housing. After a successful lobby, Labour MPs were not
only told that tenants who chose to remain with the council will benefit from increased
funding for repairs and improvements but we were also promised an end to the
"Daylight Robbery" involving council rents paying for housing benefit.
This shift in favour of council housing comes with the growing realisation that stock
transfer is not too popular with tenants. As the latest British Social Attitudes Survey
shows, even though they are dissatisfied with council estates, 78% of council tenants
prefer to rent from the local authority whereas only 63% of housing association tenants
have the same loyalty to their landlord (46% agreed they would like to live in council
housing if they could get it). With the Government committing itself to bringing all
council housing up to a decent standard by 2010, and a third by 2004, why should tenants
support the waste of valuable resources on consultants fees preparing for transfer
and on penalties for early redemption of debt.
Meanwhile, in Birmingham, the biggest landlord, Labour councillors are seriously split
on the issue. Despite the Government promise, some remain unconvinced that future capital
allocations will be sufficient to bring City-owned housing up to a decent standard by
2010. The results of a stock condition survey suggest that £1.6 billion needs to be spent
over the next 10 years and this does not include the cost of replacing the 12,000 homes
recommended for demolition. They argue that the Governments £650 million offer to
write off debt to permit stock transfer is worth taking, given the uncertainty of future
provision. Thus far, their pessimism is well-founded as local authority capital
allocations under Labour for the five years from 1997 are virtually unchanged from the
average spending under John Major. This view is reinforced in a £30,000 report from
consultants KPMG which dismisses the other "alternatives" of PFI, arms length
management companies and securitisation. Unfortunately, the report is flawed because KPMG
were not actually asked to examine the implications of stock transfer per se.
Interestingly, they did see securitisation as first requiring a stock transfer. Thus there
is every reason to suppose that some of the disadvantages they point to would similarly
apply to the more "straightforward" version. These include the high costs of
organising the transfer (estimated at £38 million, a whole years major repairs
allowance) and future tax liabilities, for example VAT, as well as the step-in rights of
funders. Should any difficulties arise with loan repayments, the consortium of funders
would effectively control the management of the housing stock. Rather than being
accountable to tenants, directors of the new housing companies will be subject to rules
regarding confidentiality and will be bound to act in the interest of the company.
Had they been asked to properly assess stock transfer, KPMG would also have had to
point out that the Council would be left to bear £200 million in early redemption
penalties. The Government made it clear in the December policy statement that any one-off
Government payment would not cover this cost. Unless the stock valuation is unexpectedly
high or the Council can do some fancy accounting to inflate the outstanding debt to £850
million, this effectively kills the transfer stone dead. Perhaps then councillors will
concentrate on convincing the Government that housing investment really has to be
substantially higher than that allowed during the years that the maintenance backlog
accrued. If the Government is serious about its improvement target for 2004, it will have
to start listening.