Today Programme 20/03/03
Transcript of interview of Dr Hans Blix by Jim Naughtie (JN) in the United States -
pre-recorded a few hours before the first shots were fired and the first cruise missiles
came over Iraqi territory (typed up from the audio clip available on the BBC website: www.bbc.co.uk/radio4/today).Blix:
Its clearly a disappointment, we had begun about 3½ months ago and I think we had
made a very rapid start, we did not have any obstacles from the Iraqi side in going
anywhere. They gave us access and prompt access and we were in a great many places
over Iraq and we had managed also to get going the destruction of the Al Samoud missiles.
We destroyed over 70 of them with Iraqi cooperation. So, of course, I think that
after 3½ months to say that now we call it a day and close the door is rather short and I
somewhat doubt when they adopted the resolution last autumn that they really had intended
to give only 3½ months for inspections. The impatience took over and they concluded that
this really would not get to the bottom of the barrel and therefore armed action was
necessary.
JN: Why do you think, having had as many conversations with the
Whitehouse as you have, that the American administration in particular, decided that more
time wouldnt solve the problem.
Blix: Well, I think they were doubtful from the beginning, the
resolution that was adopted last autumn was one that was extremely demanding and perhaps
they werent sure or doubted that the Iraqis would go along with it and that you
would have a stalemate, a clash already from the beginning but I think they did cooperate
with us and they [the Americans] lost patience, I think some time towards the end of
January or the beginning of February.
JN: Is that because they believed that their intelligence was
producing evidence of material that you werent able to confirm and that that
produced what we might call a political frustration?
Blix: No, I think that -- I have a high regard for intelligence and I
think it necessary but I must say that when you watch what came out of intelligence you
were not so convinced, We had a question of the aluminium tubes which were alleged
to be for building of centrifuges and was much doubted even by lots of American experts
and you have the even more flagrant case of the contract which was alleged that Iraq had
concluded with Niger, or tried to conclude about the importation of raw uranium as a
yellow cake and the IAEA found this was a fake. Now these things did not do much to
strengthen the evidence coming, well not the evidence, but at least the stories coming
from intelligence and the fact that we did not find things at the sites which were, or in
very few cases found anything at sites which were given by intelligence also I think
weakened that position.
JN: Do you think, let me put this bluntly, do you think that Saddam
Hussein is in possession of Weapons of Mass Destruction or not?
Blix: Well, I must say that I am very curious to see what the
Americans may now find because now they are able to talk to people and when these
people are no longer fearing repression by a regime if they tell the truth, so in all
likelihood they will tell the truth and that we have never maintained as certain that Iraq
has Weapons of Mass Destruction but whether anthrax or VX what we have said is that their
reporting on it demonstrated a great lacuna in the accounting but having something
unaccounted for is not the same thing as saying that it does exist.
JN: Let me ask you a question about the future, do you think that the
way that this episode ended at the UN is going to make it more difficult for operations of
this sort through the Security Council involving weapons inspectors to be conducted in the
future, because some people will have lost confidence because of the diplomatic impasse
that we reached last week?
Blix: Well of course, I can put the question, if this type of
inspection with all the powers that it had and several hundred men outside did not succeed
when will it succeed, that is much too general a question, I dont think any of the
diplomats here really doubt that inspection will be very useful in the future, we have the
case from South Africa when they did away with their nuclear weapons and inspections were
quite useful to give confidence in that and I think that they will look at in an ad hoc
manner.
JN: So, although your mission was brought to what you consider to be a
premature end, there may be something for the future left from it?
Blix: I think we have learnt a lot and I think that in distinction
from UNSCOM, the preceding organ we also managed to show that you can have this as a
genuinely international operation. We were not the prolonged arms of any intelligence
agency anywhere, we had cooperated with and we had good relations with them but we were
genuinely serving the Security Council and I think that is necessary if the UN is going to
do it.
JN: What is your reflection now as you look back?
Blix: Well, you see, if they have, say, anthrax or if they have
VX then it should be easy for them to put it on the table and its just, of
course, it is embarrassing, its a loss of face, but it would be easy. But if they
dont have it, then it is very difficult for them to give the evidence, they
can take various people for interviews and so forth, but they have no credibility.
We can never believe what the regime says, inspectors, its not for inspections, it
is not to believe in anybody, we have to have evidence, whether it comes from Iraqis, or
it comes from intelligence and when the Americans go in now, they will be able to go to
ask people who will no longer be fearing what they say and if the Iraqis have something,
they will probably be lead to it
JN: and in the end we will know the truth?
Blix: Yes, I think so, I am very curious to see, if they find
something. In ways paradoxical because if they dont find something then they have
sent 250,000 men to wage a war in order to find nothing, it is also paradoxical for Saddam
Hussein, if he has nothing it is curious that he has been making difficulties for the
inspectoions in the past, not so much this year.